New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
44 markets • 54 prices
Line movement
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House Line
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Game-day weather
84°F
H 86° / L 79°
Kickoff forecast
Precip chance65%
Wind12 mph
Conditions are scoring-neutral — no model adjustment.
Avg
Prob
Best
PINNACLE
New England Patriots
1.30
73.6%
1.32
—
Miami Dolphins
3.63
26.4%
3.74
—
New England Patriots
Book
Miami Dolphins
1.32
DraftKings
3.50
1.30
BetMGM
3.60
1.30
FanDuel
3.65
1.30
Caesars Sportsbook
3.65
1.29
BetOnline
3.74
No exchange prices at this line.
Hold 2.4% · no standout edge
No-vig fair
73.9% / 26.1%
Sharp fair
—
Hold
2.4%
Shop width
30¢
/ 24¢
Avg
Prob
Best
PINNACLE
New England Patriots
1.94
49.2%
1.95
—
Miami Dolphins
1.88
50.8%
1.89
—
Line
New England Patriots -7.5
Book
Miami Dolphins +7.5
1.95
BetMGM
1.87
1.95
DraftKings
1.87
1.98
Caesars Sportsbook
1.85
1.98
FanDuel
1.83
2.05
BetOnline
1.80
No exchange prices at this line.
New England Patriots -7
Book
Miami Dolphins +7
1.93
Caesars Sportsbook
1.89
1.93
BetOnline
1.89
1.93
BetMGM
1.88
1.95
DraftKings
1.87
1.95
FanDuel
1.87
No exchange prices at this line.
New England Patriots -6.5
Book
Miami Dolphins +6.5
1.83
FanDuel
1.98
No exchange prices at this line.
Hold 4.1% · no standout edge
No-vig fair
49.2% / 50.8%
Sharp fair
—
Hold
4.1%
Shop width
3¢
/ 3¢
Avg
Prob
Best
PINNACLE
Over
1.94
49.1%
1.94
—
Under
1.88
50.9%
1.88
—
Line
Over 43.5
Book
Under 43.5
1.85
Caesars Sportsbook
1.97
1.85
DraftKings
1.98
No exchange prices at this line.
Over 44
Book
Under 44
1.91
BetOnline
1.91
1.90
BetMGM
1.93
1.93
Caesars Sportsbook
1.89
No exchange prices at this line.
Over 44.5
Book
Under 44.5
1.93
Caesars Sportsbook
1.89
1.94
FanDuel
1.88
1.90
BetMGM
1.83
1.95
BetOnline
1.87
1.95
DraftKings
1.87
No exchange prices at this line.
Over 45
Book
Under 45
1.91
BetOnline
1.91
No exchange prices at this line.
Hold 4.7% · no standout edge
No-vig fair
49.1% / 50.9%
Sharp fair
—
Hold
4.7%
Shop width
—
/ —
Season stats from 2026 L3 · per game
| New England Patriots | Stat | Miami Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| 6.06#4/32 7.10 | Yards/Play | #20/325.23 5.40 |
| 2.00#31/32 1.33 | Turnovers/Game | #18/321.33 1.33 |
| 375.0#7/32 433.0 | Total Yards/Game | #27/32293.5 296.3 |
| 315.7#10/32 345.0 | Total Yards Allowed/Game | #16/32337.7 340.0 |
| 39.5%#14/32 47.1 | 3rd Down Conv | #11/3241.3% 41.2 |
| 1.00#21/32 0.67 | Takeaways/Game | #28/320.83 0.67 |
| 122.0#11/32 127.7 | Rush Yards/Game | #6/32131.5 164.7 |
| 95.3#8/32 83.7 | Rush Yards Allowed/Game | #17/32110.2 116.0 |
| 0.71#22/32 1.00 | Rushing TD/Game | #9/321.17 1.67 |
| 0.86#13/32 0.67 | Rushing TD Allowed/Game | #7/320.67 0.00 |
| 22.9#18/32 31.7 | Points/Game | #30/3216.3 20.7 |
| 10.6#23/32 14.3 | 2nd-Half Points/Game | #30/328.50 11.3 |
| 12.3#15/32 17.3 | 1st-Half Points/Game | #27/327.83 9.33 |
| 20.4#10/32 22.0 | Points Allowed/Game | #24/3226.2 23.7 |
| 11.3#13/32 12.0 | 2nd-Half Points Allowed/Game | #19/3212.5 11.3 |
| 9.14#7/32 10.0 | 1st-Half Points Allowed/Game | #26/3213.7 12.3 |
| 253.0#9/32 305.3 | Pass Yards/Game | #30/32162.0 131.7 |
| 220.4#15/32 261.3 | Pass Yards Allowed/Game | #19/32227.5 224.0 |
| 1.86#7/32 3.00 | Passing TD/Game | #30/320.67 1.00 |
| 1.29#11/32 1.33 | Passing TD Allowed/Game | #28/322.33 2.33 |
| 21.1#10/32 23.7 | First Downs/Game | #28/3216.7 18.3 |
L3 = per-game averages over the team's last 3 completed games — a small, un-ranked recent-form sample.
Ranks are not opponent-adjusted — a team that has played a tougher (or weaker) schedule so far can rank higher or lower than its true strength, especially early in the season.
Player spotlight
DM
G
7
CMP/ATT
141/214
Pass Yds
1,784
Pass TD
13
INT
8
CMP%
65.9%
| Date | Opp | CMP | ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/22 | @ Chicago Bears | 24 | 31 | 321 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| 10/18 | vs New York Jets | 18 | 32 | 235 | 3 | 0 | 24 |
| 10/11 | vs Las Vegas Raider | 26 | 34 | 374 | 4 | 0 | 25 |
| 10/4 | @ Buffalo Bills | 22 | 37 | 269 | 3 | 1 | 54 |
| 9/27 | @ Jacksonville Jag | 14 | 25 | 199 | 0 | 2 | 18 |
| 9/20 | vs Pittsburgh Steel | 14 | 22 | 208 | 0 | 1 | 17 |
| 9/9 | @ Seattle Seahawks | 23 | 33 | 178 | 1 | 3 | 47 |
MW
G
6
CMP/ATT
87/151
Pass Yds
1,057
Pass TD
4
INT
4
CMP%
57.6%
| Date | Opp | CMP | ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | @ New York Jets | 14 | 21 | 208 | 2 | 0 | 37 |
| 10/11 | vs Cincinnati Benga | 15 | 27 | 137 | 1 | 2 | 74 |
| 10/4 | @ Minnesota Viking | 9 | 17 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 9/27 | vs Kansas City Chie | 20 | 36 | 210 | 0 | 1 | 56 |
| 9/20 | @ San Francisco 49 | 14 | 23 | 197 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 9/13 | @ Las Vegas Raider | 15 | 27 | 220 | 0 | 1 | 39 |